by a Thinker, Sailor, Blogger, Irreverent Guy from Madras

The Charge that will breach the Fort


A month long suspense will come to an end tomorrow and now is the time to actually back the horse.  The question today’s eve on which charge will turn our the winner for the state elections of Tamil Nadu is still open.

As blogger earlier on ‘who will rule the fort’, or ‘who will storm the fort’ and ‘who is charging the fort’, the picture is muddy and too close to call.

As of tonight, the ADMK supporters are gung-ho, as they always are and are, predicting a huge majority for their combine; going as far as to suggest that they would be in a position to form a government on their own, without needing support from their coalition partners.

Tonight, the DMK supporters are quietly confident, as they were in the last 2 elections, that their alliance would scrape through; though not going as far as to suggest that the DMK alone will be able to muster majority.

As for whom the people have preferred is up in the air or more precisely locked up in the Electronic Voting Machines.  As blogged earlier, there are about 73 seats (at least) about which no one has a clear idea.

People, including supporters of both alliance, have been asking who I would bet for or against.  Now, I am not a betting man, but even if, it would be foolishness to place hard earned money when no one actually has any idea of ground realities.

If ever (I bet), it would be that the winning margin would be slim and it could be either one - I would be really shocked if any one alliance manages a ‘landslide’.

Today morning, while fetching milk, the heated argument between two geezers, obviously from two sides of the political divide (and good friends) were like. ‘whoever wins, it is certainly not going to be Ram Rajya (benevolent administration).  If the DMK chief is Ravana, then the ADMK supremo is Surpanakha'’.
:-)

Such is perspective of each other’s political leadership from the sides of the political divide - which doesn’t bode well for a cohesive democratic political environment in Tamil Nadu.

But of 3 things I can rely on:
  • whoever wins will call it ‘Peoples verdict is God’s verdict; the people of Tamil Nadu are politically mature and have shown extreme wisdom in voting for progressive, democratic forces and rejecting autocratic, divisive tendencies’ or something similar.
  • if DMK loses it, the people of Tamil Nadu are likely to be be showered with ‘the people of Tamil Nadu have been misinformed and misguided by the dominant social and economic forces and the downtrodden have been once again denied their say due to the vile, reprehensible shenanigans of the dominant forces’ or something similar.
  • if ADMK loses it, the people of Tamil Nadu are likely to be informed that ‘the people of Tamil Nadu have been swindled and blindsided by the dominance of money and muscle power and the unreliability of the Electronic Voting Machines and would have to unjustly suffer under oppressive, evil regime’ or something similar
The tone and tenor of the statements, unlike the poll surveys, would be 100% accurate because:
  • if defeated, the DMK and its supporters can never accept that their brand of politics can become unacceptable to the people.
  • if defeated, the ADMK and its supporters can never accept that their leader and party can be rejected by the people.

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