by a Thinker, Sailor, Blogger, Irreverent Guy from Madras

Is Sankarankoil by-election or bye-bye election?


Just about 4 days away is the Sankarankoil Bye-election in my home state of TN. And as is usual my gut feeling tells me it is going to surprise everyone the ruling ADMK, the opposition of the other 3 scraping parties.

For sure, there is no doubt that a ruling party or combine would ever lose a by-election in my home state.  But there are some benchmarks, which are deemed so, by the common people watching it at Chennai.

Out on my after dinner smoke, these are the benchmarks which seem to have been decided by the commoners in the Sankarankoil by-election.
  • the ruling party ADMK would win the election,
  • that the CM of TN is railing against the Central Government in her own backyard, tells that she is shaky, even with the overwhelming majority in the Assembly,
  • that if the ADMK and the CM do win and poll less than 65,000 votes in all, the ruling party is in trouble and the people have come to a point that they resent voting for the CM in the last state elections,
  • that if the DMK polls less than 45,000 votes overall, it would mean that the people haven’t still forgiven them for their (mis)rule.
  • that if any of the other 2 in the fray, the DMDK and the MDMK poll less than 10,000 votes individually, it means that people aren’t yet ready to trust them with power.
So let us wait for the polls to see what the people of Sankarnkoil decide.  Actual results updated at the end.

And if any of them think that the Sri Lankan Tamil issue is of consequence, their advisors need to have their heads examined.

Last, there is an Election Commission directive that no opinion, exit or other polls should be released by the ‘media’, effective from today morning.  I still have done so, because it has to be still clarified whether a blog is a media or a medium.

As of this writing, I hold that blogs are just a ‘medium’ to express personal opinion.  If the Election Commission does decide otherwise, that blogs are ‘media’, then it would mean that every blogger in India, or of India, would be protected with the same rights and guarantees as any other ‘media’.

Let the Election Commission of India and the Press Council of India decide.

Results of the Sankarankoil by-election Mar 2012:
ADMK won by a margin of 68,757 votes;
DMK candidate secured only 26,220 votes;
MDMK candidate was 3rd with 20,678 votes;
DMDK man was poor 4th with 12, 144 votes (though double the 2001 score of 5,531); and,
BJP candidate tallied 1,633 votes!

(image courtesy Bala cartoons)

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